Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 2/3/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

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Game: Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Friday February 3, 2023

Location: Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV


The Lawlor Events Center is where the Nevada Wolf Pack (17-6) will take on the Air Force Falcons (12-11) on Friday.

The Air Force Falcons entered the hardwood against Boise State and walked away in their last contest in a 59-52 loss. The Air Force finished the contest with a 39.2% field goal percentage (20 of 51) and buried 4 of their 24 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Falcons buried 8 of 10 attempts with an 80.0% percentage. In terms of rebound grabbing, they earned 27, 6 of which were offensive in nature. They also gave out 9 assists in the game, forced the other team to make 10 turnovers, and earned 3 steals. In terms of defense, the Air Force allowed their opponent to fire 43.1% from the ground on 22 of 51 shots. Boise State had a total of 6 dimes and 6 steals for this game. In addition, Boise State grabbed 28 rebounds (4 offensive, 24 defensive) but did not score a rejection. Boise State went from shooting 88.9% when shooting free throws by making 8 of his 9 attempts. They also made 7 of their 22 attempts from 3-point land. In terms of fouls, the Falcons finished with 12 while Boise State finished the game with 15 fouls.

Rytis Petraitis is a guy who played a role in this competition. He finished 66.7% from the floor and dished out 1 assist. He played 40 minutes and grabbed 3 rebounds. In the end he scored 20 points on 8 of 12 shots.

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The Air Force enters this season with a record so far of 12-11. They turn it over 11.6 times per game and as a unit they commit 16.7 fouls per game. As a team, the Air Force is catching 29.9 rebounds per game and has earned 353 assists this season, which ranks 46th in D-1 in terms of passing play. The Falcons fired 34.6% off-perimeter shots (188 of 543) and 72.4% from the Charity Stripe. They average 67.6 points per game (ranked 286th in Division 1) while hitting 46.0% from the field.

Defensively, the Falcons can force 11.3 turnovers and pull 17.3 personal fouls in each game. They rank 22nd in college basketball for allowing assists, with 220 surrendered this season. The Falcons defense gives up a 43.2% field goal percentage (534 of 1,235) and they give up 32.9 boards per game as a squad. They concede 28.6% on shots from outside the perimeter and they rank 72nd in the country in PPG allowed (65.7).

The last time they took the field, the Nevada Wolf Pack won with a final 75-66 as they played San Diego State. In terms of team rebounds, Nevada allowed San Diego State to shed a total of 25 (5 offense). They went 30.4% from three-point range over 7 of 23 and finished the contest with 17 of 19 from the charity streak (89.5%). The Wolf Pack allowed San Diego State to convert 21 of their 48 tries from the floor, giving them a 43.8% odds in that game. At the end of that game, the Wolf Pack shot 25 of 50 out of the field they had at 50.0%. Regarding 3-pointers, Nevada converted 5 out of 17 attempts (29.4%). They were able to make 20 of them with a rate of 87.0%. San Diego State committed 22 personal fouls in that game, which put the Wolf Pack at the free-throw line for a total of 23 attempts. They also coughed it up 6 times while earning 5 steals in this matchup. The Wolf Pack was able to tear down 21 defensive boards and 3 offensive boards for a total of 24 in this matchup.

After all, Jarod Lucas was a factor for the wolf pack in this competition. He scored 26 points in his 38 minutes of play but recorded no assists. He buried 9 of 14 for the contest for a 64.3% field goal percentage and had 4 rebounds.

Nevada has a 17-6 win-loss record so far this season. When it comes to execution on offense, the Wolf Pack shoots 44.4% from the field, ranked 198th in D-1. Nevada has averaged 1,691 points for the season (73.5 per game) and they are pulling down 34.2 boards per game. Their assist rate is 14.0 times per game (121st in the country) and they turn the ball 10.7 times per competition. The Wolf Pack commits 18.6 fouls each game and they are 79.7% off the charity streak.

The Wolf Pack on the defensive side of the court ranks 99th in the College Hoop in points per game allowed with 66.7. They’ve forced 13.0 turnovers per game and allowed teams to shoot 41.6% from the floor (80th place in college basketball). The Nevada defense gives up 33.4% on three-point shots (171 of 512) and opponents convert 71.8% of their shots from the charity streak. They give up 12.3 cents and 33.7 rebounds in each game, which ranks 149th and 147th in college hoops.

Who will win today’s NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald’s choice: Take Air Force

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